Foreigners Buying US Bond Indexes

Jan 26, 2010 in Bonds

What has currency done to US bond market returns for foreign investors? While various currencies have performed notably differently, the overall Deutsche Bank Dollar Index ETF is a good proxy to make a weighted judgment of overall effect. Since February 2007, when the UUP was launched, there has been a depreciation of the dollar of about -6%. With domestic currency bond market index returns in the +17 to +19% over this period and understanding that some currencies fared much better or worse than the underlying DB dollar index, you can see that currency can be quite a meaningful contribution to overall return.


To update this chart to today or visualize similar relationships using other ETF combinations, go here:



A look at Ken Heebners CGM Focus Mutual Fund

Jan 23, 2010 in Mutual Funds

Ken Heebner is considered one of the very best fund managers in the country. But during this period of time, his fund was simply no different than the Brazil Fund ETF. This is an example of a fund manager exposing customers to a risk factor that they could have purchased in an ETF at a significantly lower fee. While Heebner should be credited for his outstanding long-term track record, his value-add -- like nearly all fund managers -- is in choosing broad risk expsosures, not 'stock-picking'. Moreover, he exposed customers to tremendous risk -- which could have been easily recognized if tracking his daily standard deviation of his funds returns -- as does.




How Risky Are Intermediate Term Bond ETFs?

Jan 20, 2010 in Bonds | Volatility

This particular ETF, Barclays 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF (symbol IEI) with a stated effective duration of approximately 4.5 years, had daily standard deviation of 5.5% in 2009. While yields on treasuries are low -- duration management below 5 years is inherently low relative risk.




S&P vs European Stocks

Jan 06, 2010 in S&P 500

 Difference Was Essentially The Currency Effect



Classic Example of Mixing Non-Correlating Assets

Jan 06, 2010 in Correlation



Some creativity in non-equities in 2009s equity bull market

Jan 04, 2010 in Bonds


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